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Thoughts on Estimates 2

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So this is the second video about my thoughts on Estimates. The first video is here if you did not watch it. I end up doing a second video because I realized there was more stuff I want to say and elaborate more like: Estimates not being reliable and liner. Moscow is really helpful to increase the success chance and also small things like XP Simple Design, Metrics, Team Layout, Branching Model, Architecture and so many other things which I cover on this video. So this video is a bit bigger than the first one(8 min) but not that big(12min) so I hope you guys like it.

Thoughts on Estimates

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Estimates and a very huge concern for pretty much company doing business now a day. Especially during COVID-19 times I dont belive the questions like when something will be done will be out of the table soon.  However, is very hard to get estimates right but is possible to take action to reduce the blast radius of estimates and try to get something reasonable.  Today I want to share a short video I recorded some thoughts on estimates. If you are following up muy blog you will see these ideas were published in previous posts if you did not read my latest posts on similar matters you can read it here: 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7  and 8 . In this video, you will see why estimates often go south and what we can do to improve and deal with estimates in a reasonable way.

#NoEstimates: Forget Buildings and make Digital Products

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This is a complicated matter. Every single company on the planet deal with estimates somehow and use some kind of estimates. There are people who are pro-estimate and belive giving an estimate is a professional thing and we need to do it and there are people who believe we need to reduce the number of estimates we do(I'm the second kind of people). Estimates often are wrong and incorrect. However, there are people who are really good on the estimate and get it right with very few error margins however when you look into details you might realize that being good on estimates might be killing your business. You might think is enabling you to sell more and get better but easily it could be the other way around, no worries I will answer why. This is a very hot and passionate topic so brace your self and let's go. Estimates are old, most of the time they are lies and they are not reliable however we continue to work with estimates expecting they will work when they dont work.